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Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Nov 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Nov, 03 Nov, 04 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 423 km/s at 01/0006Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 01/1722Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
01/1232Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1634 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (02 Nov) and quiet levels
on days two and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Nov to 04 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Nov 077 Predicted 02 Nov-04 Nov 074/072/072 90 Day Mean 01 Nov 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct 006/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Nov 008/011 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov to 04 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 30% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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