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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Nov 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 413 km/s at 02/1922Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 02/0303Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 02/1850Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 603 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov to 05 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Nov 082
  Predicted   03 Nov-05 Nov 082/082/082
  90 Day Mean        02 Nov 073

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov  008/009
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Nov  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov to 05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm20%20%20%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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