Issued: 2023 Dec 20 1244 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
20 Dec 2023 | 181 | 015 |
21 Dec 2023 | 182 | 010 |
22 Dec 2023 | 183 | 015 |
The solar flaring activity was at low levels with several C-class flares during the last 24 hours. The largest reported flare was GOES C8.3 flare, which peaked at 08:54 UT on Dec 20, from NOAA AR 3521. During the flare, the source region (AR 3521) of the flare had beta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next 24 hours with few C-class flares, possibly M-class flares and a low chance for isolated X-class flares.
No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph observations during last 24 hour.
A negative polarity coronal hole has crossed the central meridian and a high-speed stream from this coronal hole may arrive to Earth from December 22.
Earth continues to be under the influence of the fast solar wind. The solar wind speed decreased from 665 km/s to 475 km/s. The North- South component (Bz) ranged between -7 and 6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field ranging from 1 nT to 8 nT. In the next 24 hours, we expect a gradual transition from fast to slow solar wind.
Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally at quiet to active conditions (NOAA Kp and K BEL 1 to 4), due to the continued impact of high speed streams from the positive polarity coronal hole which crossed the central meridian on Dec 17. The geomagnetic condition is expected to be quiet to active conditions probably in the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.
The 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected that this parameter to remain below the threshold level in the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence continues to be at normal level and is expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 153, based on 06 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 231 |
10cm solar flux | 179 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 018 |
AK Wingst | 012 |
Estimated Ap | 011 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 174 - Based on 14 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M5.6 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
Last 30 days | 128.5 -22.7 |