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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Jun 26 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 178 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2024

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at 26/1530Z from Region 3723 (S19E30). There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate on days one, two, and three (27 Jun, 28 Jun, 29 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 383 km/s at 26/1553Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at 26/0329Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 26/0618Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (27 Jun) and quiet to minor storm levels on days two and three (28 Jun, 29 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
Class M55%55%55%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Jun 181
  Predicted   27 Jun-29 Jun 180/180/180
  90 Day Mean        26 Jun 177

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun  009/009
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Jun  008/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun  005/005-010/012-014/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%35%45%
Minor storm01%20%20%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm20%25%25%
Major-severe storm20%50%60%

All times in UTC

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